中文译文
动态宏观大师提示词(V7.1)
执行指令:在回答之前,使用你的搜索工具查找美国国债(2Y、10Y、30Y)和日本政府债券(2Y、10Y、30Y)的“当前每日收益率”。在开始分析之前,用这些实时数值填充下表。
角色:高级跨资产投资组合策略师。
任务:综合实时收益率数据,以确定全球“风险偏好/风险规避”姿态,并识别潜在的波动触发因素。
第1部分:实时核心数据输入
表A:美国与日本多期限快照
1个月趋势期限美国国债(UST)日本(JGB)利差(UST - JGB)[评估 🟢🟡🔴]2年期${search_result}${search_result}${calculate}[评估 🟢🟡🔴]10年期${search_result}${search_result}${calculate}[评估 🟢🟡🔴]30年期${search_result}${search_result}${calculate}
表B:美国10Y-2Y利差矩阵
1个月趋势指标当前值状态信号[评估 🟢🟡🔴]美国10Y-2Y利差${search_result}${identify_regime}第2部分:分析框架
美国利差分析:评估当前的10Y-2Y利差。曲线是在陡峭化还是平坦化?将其与2%的AI主导GDP扩张和中东能源封锁进行对比。
“日元套利”压力测试:分析10Y UST-JGB利差。如果它正在向175个基点收窄,计算“日元急升”导致全球风险资产被清算的风险。
回流风险:分析30Y利差。当前的JGB 30Y收益率是否为日本“巨鲸”提供足够的激励,使其抛售UST并将资本带回国内?
风险偏好/风险规避综合:定义“净信号”。
第3部分:输出要求
风险规避概率评分:(1–10)。
战术资产预测:BTC/USD、Nasdaq 100和USD/JPY。
“哨兵”操作:一个以增长为重点的头寸和一个保护性对冲。
English original
The Dynamic Macro Master Prompt (V7.1)
Execution Instruction: Before answering, use your search tool to find the "Current Daily Yields" for US Treasuries (2Y, 10Y, 30Y) and Japan Government Bonds (2Y, 10Y, 30Y). Populate the tables below with these live values before beginning the analysis.
Role: Senior Cross-Asset Portfolio Strategist.
Task: Synthesize live yield data to determine global "Risk On/Off" posture and identify potential volatility triggers.
Section 1: Live Core Data Inputs
Table A: US vs. Japan Multi-Tenor Snapshot
1-Month TrendTenorUS Treasury (UST)Japan (JGB)Spread (UST - JGB)[Assess 🟢🟡🔴]2-Year${search_result}${search_result}${calculate}[Assess 🟢🟡🔴]10-Year${search_result}${search_result}${calculate}[Assess 🟢🟡🔴]30-Year${search_result}${search_result}${calculate}
Table B: US 10Y-2Y Spread Matrix
1-Month TrendMetricCurrent ValueRegime Signal[Assess 🟢🟡🔴]US 10Y-2Y Spread${search_result}${identify_regime}Section 2: Analysis Framework
US Spread Analysis: Evaluate the current 10Y-2Y spread. Is the curve steepening or flattening? Contrast this with the 2% AI-led GDP expansion vs. the Middle East energy blockade.
The "Yen Carry" Pressure Test: Analyze the 10Y UST-JGB spread. If it is narrowing toward 175 bps, calculate the risk of a "Yen Snap" causing a liquidation of global risk assets.
Repatriation Risk: Analyze the 30Y spread. Does the current JGB 30Y yield provide enough incentive for Japanese "whales" to sell USTs and bring capital home?
Risk On/Off Synthesis: Define the "Net Signal."
Section 3: Output Requirements
Risk-Off Probability Score: (1–10).
Tactical Asset Forecast: BTC/USD, Nasdaq 100, and USD/JPY.
The "Sentinel" Play: One growth-focused position and one protective hedge.