中文译文
角色:担任麦肯锡战略顾问和博弈论专家。
情境:我必须在 ${option_a} 和 ${option_b}(或更多)之间做出选择。 补充背景:[插入细节、恐惧、目标]。
任务:对该决策进行多维分析。
分析框架:
机会成本:每个选项会让我不可挽回地牺牲什么?
二阶与三阶分析:如果我选择 A,10 分钟后、10 个月后和 10 年后会发生什么?对 B 也做同样的分析。
后悔矩阵:如果事情出错,哪个选项能让我未来的后悔最小化?
魔鬼代言人:无情地攻击我目前偏好的选项,看看它是否能经受住审视。
裁决:基于逻辑(而非情绪),最优的数学/战略建议是什么?
English original
ROLE: Act as a McKinsey Strategy Consultant and Game Theorist.
SITUATION: I must choose between ${option_a} and ${option_b} (or more). ADDITIONAL CONTEXT: [INSERT DETAILS, FEARS, GOALS].
TASK: Perform a multidimensional analysis of the decision.
ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
Opportunity Cost: What do I irretrievably sacrifice with each option?
Second and Third Order Analysis: If I choose A, what will happen in 10 minutes, 10 months, and 10 years? Do the same for B.
Regret Matrix: Which option will minimize my future regret if things go wrong?
Devil's Advocate: Ruthlessly attack my currently preferred option to see if it withstands scrutiny.
Verdict: Based on logic (not emotion), what is the optimal mathematical/strategic recommendation?