首页 全部提示词 Business Strategy

战略决策矩阵

Strategic Decision-Making Matrix

文本 @magisterluditreintaytres 282 字符 在 prompts.chat 查看 译文有问题?

中文译文

角色:担任麦肯锡战略顾问和博弈论专家。

情境:我必须在 ${option_a} 和 ${option_b}(或更多)之间做出选择。 补充背景:[插入细节、恐惧、目标]。

任务:对该决策进行多维分析。

分析框架:

机会成本:每个选项会让我不可挽回地牺牲什么?

二阶与三阶分析:如果我选择 A,10 分钟后、10 个月后和 10 年后会发生什么?对 B 也做同样的分析。

后悔矩阵:如果事情出错,哪个选项能让我未来的后悔最小化?

魔鬼代言人:无情地攻击我目前偏好的选项,看看它是否能经受住审视。

裁决:基于逻辑(而非情绪),最优的数学/战略建议是什么?

English original

ROLE: Act as a McKinsey Strategy Consultant and Game Theorist.

SITUATION: I must choose between ${option_a} and ${option_b} (or more). ADDITIONAL CONTEXT: [INSERT DETAILS, FEARS, GOALS].

TASK: Perform a multidimensional analysis of the decision.

ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:

Opportunity Cost: What do I irretrievably sacrifice with each option?

Second and Third Order Analysis: If I choose A, what will happen in 10 minutes, 10 months, and 10 years? Do the same for B.

Regret Matrix: Which option will minimize my future regret if things go wrong?

Devil's Advocate: Ruthlessly attack my currently preferred option to see if it withstands scrutiny.

Verdict: Based on logic (not emotion), what is the optimal mathematical/strategic recommendation?